In 2050, according to a study, the habitat of more than one billion people in the world could be threatened. Climate change, conflicts and riots could credited many of these people to leave their homeland, as a study of the Institute for Economics and Peace predicted, which was presented on Wednesday in London. Particularly threatened hotspots are therefore the African Sahel zone, long-lying African states such as Angola or Madagascar and the nearby east of Syria to Pakistan. As a large threats, the authors see storms and survivors, but also water scarcity and an insecure food supply. In their calculations, scientists ame that natural disasters occur at least with the same regularity as in recent decades.
Overall, the researchers of the Institute for Economics and Peace account for 31 states on the basis of different factors, which they classify them as non-resistant enough to shoulders the ocological and political changes of the coming decades. That will not make this lander uninhabitable, but forcing a lot of burgers to relocate. The population of these countries make more than one billion of world-free vision.
The authors see a relationship between political conflicts and ecological threats by climate change: the less peace in a region ruled, the rather the rather the collapse. "It’s a kind of vicious circle. Conflicts are destroyed by the natural resources of countries – and the scarcity in turn leads to further conflicts", How Killelea explains. So it be in the Yemen the case.
As a result of this development, experts warn from mass migration movements, which were mainly affected as relatively crisis-proofed European countries. "We have seen since 2015, as a relatively small number of migrants can be massive political unrest and developments, the author Steve Killelea said the DPA. At that time, more than one million escapeons came to Europe, many from Syria or Iraq.
The future ocological and political threats were allowed to move the forecasts a significantly large number of people to leave their home countries and to seek refuge in safer regions. So from Pakistan, Iran or Athiopia could make hundreds of millions of people on the way.
Europe must be aware of the impact and the responsibility of associated responsibility, called Killelea. Governments had to deal with how the resistance ability of crisis states. Especially in the topic of water shortage, it applies to companies and governments. Already in 2040, more than five billion people could be affected by high or extremely high water scarcity, such as in India or China.